Sunday, 13 September 2015

St Leger/Irish Champions Weekend/Arc Trials Day - In Review

Wow. What a weekend. Whether it be from the juveniles, the classic generation, or the older horses, this past two days has been an excellent advert for the sport of horse racing. From Doncaster to Leapordstown to the Curragh and all the way over to Longchamp, we were treated to Group 1s in abundance and with some big reputations on the line, the racing world was ready to witness some sheer spectacles.


On Saturday, we kicked off things at Doncaster with what appeared to be the standout juvenile performance of the weekend, when Godolphin sent out Emotionless in the Champagne Stakes. Setting off an odds on shot, Emotionless sat... motionless... for most of the contest, and was hard on the bridle with a furlong to go, a single slap down the neck putting the contest to bed with seemingly a lot left in the tank. He could be one of the big players in next season's classics, but just when we thought we had seen the best of it, we were wrong.


Limato went off 9/2 favourite for the Park Stakes, which by now seems like a ridiculously big price. Henry Candy's high class colt showed just why he's as well thought of, overcoming being slow out the gates, and coming from stone last, slicing his way through the field with an epic turn of foot and scooting clear to win easily in his first start over 7 furlongs. With the Foret on Arc weekend looking the likely target, my money is on Limato gaining his first success at the highest level before the season end, and he looks a very exciting prospect for next year if training on.


The highlight at Doncaster was of course the St Leger itself. Britain's oldest classic. Not without it's share of controversy. Fields of Athenry under Silvestre De Sousa made most of the running before being overshadowed by high class Storm The Stars, who cantered into the lead with a quarter mile to run. As he came off the bridle though, he was overtaken by Bondi Beach, and eventual first past the post, Simple Verse. The stewards' klaxon sounded though, and some nervy few minutes later, it was revealed that the placings had indeed been altered, the prize being rewarded to Bondi Beach. Make of it what you will, in my eyes, the gap wasn't there for Atzeni, and thus him making the gap himself is breaking the rules, so the correct call was made.


Over at Leapordstown, it was all about the Irish Champion Stakes. The Group 1 contest over a mile and a quarter, which went the way of Derby and Eclipse hero, Golden Horn. Again though, it didn't come without it's complications, as Dermot Weld's highly rated Free Eagle seemed to make a strong challenge entering the home straight, only for the badly hanging Golden Horn to knock him off his stride, and eventually causing him to finish third. It was deemed that Free Eagle didn't finish close enough in the end to merit disqualifying the 5/4 favourite, who kept the race. IMO, if the St Leger was clear interference, this was an even worse case, as I feel Free Eagle's challenge was consistent, on a straight line, and he looked to be well on his way to winning the race.


The following race saw 1000 Guineas and Nassau Stakes heroine Legatissimo claim yet more Group 1 glory in the Matron Stakes. Wayne Lordan could hardly believe his eyes when he picked up leader Euro Charline turning for home, and with ease, striding clear to win with some extra up her sleeve. It was earlier today confirmed that she would train on as a 4 year old, with the way she stayed on today surely opening up more options to her.


Then it was over to Curragh to whet our equine appetites with another handful of Group 1s to keep us going. The first slice of Group action though, saw Ribbons take the Group 2 Blandford Stakes. Held up at the back by Tom Queally, she saw every rival until the turn for home, picking each opponent up with every stride before cruising to the front and extending to a few lengths lead. The returning Tapestry (off since last year's Arc) gave her a race of it inside the final furlong, but Ribbons proved a class act, winning comfortably in the end at 3/1.


Next up was the Flying Five Stakes, with my old favourite Sole Power (5/1) showing his trademark turn of foot, (on ground that he had no right even running on, by logic), to get up close home and mark his first ever win on home soil. Not going to lie, I belted out a scream of delight when he hit the front, as, I'm sure, did anyone else who's stayed loyal to the grand old sprinter. What a class apart.


Speaking of class apart, it was the all-conquering Ballydoyle team who stole the spotlight yet again, and they kicked off another great day with a 1-2-3 in the Group 1 Moyglare, with Minding getting the better of short favourite Ballydoyle, and Alice Springs in third. Aidan O'Brien was clearly impressed by all three, but I think it's safe to say there was only one intended winner there, and she simply couldn't deliver the finishing kick when push came to shove. No matter, Ballydoyle will live to fight another day, and no doubt in my mind she has all the makings of a 1000 Guineas winner.


Next up was the National Stakes, and O'Brien sent out another "Nice Harse" in the form of Air Force Blue, who proved to be every bit as impressive as Emotionless was at Doncaster. With highly touted Herald The Dawn hitting the front a couple furlongs out, Jospeh O'Brien was bolt upright upon Air Force Blue, who cantered into the lead and skipped clear to land yet another valuable Group 1 for the Coolmore squad. In my opinion, Emotionless is the 2000 Guineas winner next year, and I'll be on ante-post no matter the price, but Air Force Blue looks very clever indeed, and, if Joseph is right, could be something special.


The feature race of the day was of course the Irish St Leger, which had just as big a low point as it did a high point. Let's get the high point out of the way first. Order Of St George was hugely impressive. He won by 11 lengths in the end, and looks as though he could win an Ascot Gold Cup and a King George next year if he wanted. Very, very good horse. That's all good and well. The low point, of course, came with the tragic news that Brown Panther, who has served trainer Tom Dascombe and owner Michael Owen so grandly over the years, suffered an ultimately fatal injury. The horse has taken connections all over the world, and so often was a solid UK representative in some of the biggest staying races around the globe. Not seeing him in the Long Distance Cup on Champions Day, where he surely would have ended up, will be surreal. So often present in the big staying races, he'll be truly missed. RIP Brown Panther, you legend.


Over in France, it was Arc Trials Day at Longchamp, and the class on show supplemented everything we had seen on home soil over the weekend. In the Prix Niel, it was New Bay who laid down the gauntlet with a stunning display, making short work of the unbeaten Erupt to stake his claim for Europe's richest race.


The build up to the Prix du Moulin was dominated by the withdrawals of some of the big guns. Territories, Dutch Connection, Esoterique and Arod all fell victim to the very slow ground, leaving Ervedya and Karakontie the only two big names left in the field. Sent off the new fave, Ervedya still had to win her race, and as the time for the gap to appear began to decimate, Soumillon waited for the right moment, and when the gap came, he slotted Ervedya through, stretching away to take the Group 1 prize.


This weekend was all about class though, and I feel it only right to leave the very best to last, as dual Arc mega-star Treve showed us just why she's going to make it THREE IN A ROW. The Group 1 Prix Vermeille was her chosen stage, and she simply galloped her opposition into submission. Golden Horn's Juddmonte International conqueror, Arabian Queen, sat in behind the pace maker for most of the race, before racing upsides to make her challenge, waiting in the wings though, Treve was kept wide and out of trouble, before unleashing a spellbinding turn of foot to demolish her rivals with ease. So impressive, as a matter of fact, that she was immediately made odds-on favourite to seal what would be an unprecedented three wins in the Arc De Triomphe. A wonderful weekend's racing capped off with one of the best performances you'll see all season, and there were a lot of contenders for that across these two days!

RIP BROWN PANTHER


Thursday, 20 August 2015

Amazing Acapulco? Nunthorpe Preview


Wednesday was a shock to the system. Aiden O'Brien could feel a storm coming, and his gut instinct told him to withdraw Gleneagles from the Juddmonte International. Derby winner Golden Horn stood his ground, and ultimately we were shocked to the core when Arabian Queen showed grit and determination to see off the challenge of Frankie Dettori and John Gosden's star. 50/1 shot sees off the Derby winner at 4/9. That's racing. It was clear that Golden Horn didn't enjoy the ground, so his turn of foot was completely nullified. He didn't travel the way he did in the Derby or Eclipse. My take on the race was that the inclusion of Dick Doughtywylie as pacemaker may have ruined his chance, because if ridden handier, kicking from the front may have suited Golden Horn better. It's too late for ifs and buts though, and it's time to look forward to the Nunthorpe Stakes. As usual, a large field lines up for the group 1 over the flying five furlongs at York, so lets take a look at each of the twenty runners left in.

1 - Goldream (M. Harley)
Above average sprinter, wasn't a complete shock when he won the King's Stand at Royal Ascot, and with all going to plan, should be on the premises at the business end.

2 - Justice Day (H. Turner)
Unreliable and a likely outsider. Best left untouched.

3 - Justineo (W. Buick)
Ran a decent race when less than 3 lengths sixth behind Muthmir in the King George Stakes at Goodwood, but would be a surprise if reversing that form and is easily overlooked.

4 - Line of Reason (G. Lee)
Much like Justineo, ran a respectable race in fourth behind Muthmir at Goodwood, but again, like Justineo, not a likely type for win purposes, though wouldn't completely rule out E/W with five places up for grabs.

5 - Medicean Man (P. Makin)
Ran a belter when beaten only a head by Goldream in the King's Stand, but a lot to suggest that may have been a freak great run. Overlooked.

6 - Mirza (I Mendizabal)
Has form on the predicted ground and won last start at Deauville. Much better race now though, so much more required. Unlikely to play a part.

7 - Move in Time (D. Tudhope)
Won the Abbaye last season and less than a length behind Muthmir at Goodwood. Has a chance on form and not lightly ruled out.

8 - Music Master (D. O'Neill)
Ran behind Mirza at Deauville but shouldn't struggle to reverse that form. Despite that, classier sorts involved here.

9 - Muthmir (P. Hanagan)
Top class sprinter. Had a good few of these behind when winning at Goodwood and unless Acapulco proves to be out of the ordinary, he'll prove hard to beat.

10 - Pearl Secret (O. Murphy)
Not the easiest to follow but tends to always give his running. Should show up well for a while before being caught for a turn of foot at the business end.

11 - Sole Power (L. Dettori)
Knows the script here, he's been there, done it and worn the t-shirt. Shows how difficult this renewal is when he can be ruled out. May have the race set up for him, but it's trying to claw back the likes of Acapulco and Muthmir that may be the problem.

12 - Stepper Point (M. Dwyer)
Frustrating individual but rewarded fans with a group 2 win last time out, not out of the ordinary for him to give his running here.

13 - Take Cover (P. Smullen)
Second to Muthmir at Goodwood and would be surprised if those placings were to be reversed here. Limitations exposed.

14 - Canny Kool (S. De Sousa)
Booking of the champion jockey elect is a positive but just about the only one. Rank outsider.

15 - Cotai Glory (G. Gibbons)
Talented sort last season, but seems to have levelled out in past few starts and would need a mighty resurgence to get involved.

16 - Mattmu (D. Allan)
Game winner of the Pheonix Sprint Stakes at the Curragh, but that was over 6 furlongs and drop in trip may not suit. Will be running on all the time at the business end and solid each way claims.

17 - Profitable (J. Doyle)
Clive Cox knows how to send out a good sprinter, but this doesn't seem like a likely type to get involved. Well beaten in the Commonwealth Cup, and only time will tell if the drop in trip will bring some improvement.

18 - Mecca's Angel (P. Mulrennan)
Outpointed by Stepper Point at the Curragh but a consistent animal and would be surprised if she was out of the placings. Player.

19 - Wind Fire (J. Spencer)
Was behind Stepper Point and Mecca's Angel in Ireland. Likely outsider and best overlooked.

20 - Acapulco (I. Ortiz Jr)
Made all and showed an electric turn of foot to win a juvenile race at Royal Ascot. Sole 2 year old in this year's renewal and get's even more weight as a filly. Receiving weight all round, and with natural speed in excess, she could be a sprinting superstar, experience could be her downfall though, and against the older horses, I marginally prefer Muthmir this time around.

PREDICTED 1-2-3

1 - MUTHMIR
2 - Acapulco
3 - Mecca's Angel

Thursday, 14 May 2015

York Dante Meeting - Dante Day Highlights and Day 3 Tips!

Out Do and Danny Tudhope
After the spectacle that was Dante day on Thursday, it would take some smart horses to have me excited about Friday's meeting at York. The feature race is of course the Yorkshire Cup for the stayers over a mile and three quarters. After scanning through the card, only a couple of horses jumped out at me, and I'll list them below...

Meeting - York
Time - 14:40
Selection - AJMAN BRIDGE

Ajman Bridge has solid claims to land this handicap based on his neck second to Godolphin's Razor Wind at Doncaster last month. He stayed all the way to the line on that occasion, and shaped as though this step up in trip would do him the world of good. The jockey who beat him last time up, William Buick, takes the reigns from Adam Kirby, and at 9/2, Luca Cumani looks to be sending out the value bet of the day.

Meeting - York
Time - 15:15
Selection - ROMSDAL (nap)

This is the feature race of the day, the Yorkshire Cup, over a mile and three quarters, which can easily go the way of Romsdal for John Gosden and William Buick. The horse was one of the stand-out stayers in the country last season, finishing third behind Australia and Kingston Hill in the Derby, and then reaffirming that form by finishing an excellent second to Kingston Hill in the St Leger. With that being backed up by Kingston Hill's creditable run in the Arc behind Treve, and his return outing blowing off the cobwebs, the return to 14 furlongs will suit Romsdal to the ground, and he should be the highlight of a good day for Buick. Don't expect 9/4 to be the price at the off, as he'll likely come for good money through the night and tomorrow morning... so get on!

Best of the Rest

The opening race at York could go the way of French under Graham Lee. One of many juvenile fillies in this listed race with X amount of potential, but the way she won her maiden at Ripon, while showing the signs of her inexperience, means she may be open to big improvement if coming on from the run. Another filly that could have a bright future is Yasmeen (15:45) who won a Newbury maiden with conviction, and now, stepped up to a mile, this daughter of Sea The Stars may prove too good for the opposition, and provide owner Hamdan Al Maktoum with another useful prospect to go to war with. Across the card at Newbury, course and distance winner Accession could be a safe bet in the 14:55 for Martin Lane and trainer Charlie Fellowes.

Dante Day Highlights

- Out Do done the business for David O'Meara and Danny Tudhope in the opening sprint. Tracking the pace through the early part of the contest, he was still hard on the bridle when he made his challenge at the two furlong pole, and despite hanging badly in the closing stages, he stayed resolutely to the line to win by a neck and come home the 6/1 winner.

- The group 2 Middleton Stakes for the fillies went the way of Secret Gesture, who made all under a clever ride from Andrea Atzeni. Placed in 4 group 1 contests, including the Epsom, German and Yorkshire Oaks as a three year old, she was clearly the class in the race, and she proved that when she stayed strongly all the way home to give Ralph Beckett a valuable 7/2 success, reversing French form with Ribbons in the process.

- On the face of things, it looked like a top class renewal of the group 2 Dante Stakes, and it proved to be nothing short of a race straight from the top drawer, as Racing Post Trophy winner Elm Park, impressive Sandown winner Jack Hobbs, and Golden Horn pulled clear to make some decent horses look below average. Lord Ben Stack ensured a good pace was set, but turning for home, Elm Park and Jack Hobbs loomed up and looked to have the race between them. As they were beginning to draw clear, Golden Horn, under a confident Frankie Dettori, made smooth headway to join in the party, moving readily into the lead entering the final furlong and securing a 4/1 winner for John Gosden. His other representative Jack Hobbs finished second as the 2/1 market leader, with Elm Park (crying out for further still) returning third at 7/2. With Golden Horn not yet entered in the Epsom classic, and Jack Hobbs looking like a thorough 10 furlong horse, it may be worth swapping their engagements (Golden Horn entered in the Prix du Jockey Club), with a rematch between Golden Horn and Elm Park over the mile and a half looking like a mouth-watering prospect. Easily one of the best races of the flat season so far.